Clinton leads Trump 42 to 36 percent as he loses women’s support

Trump comes out ahead by one point, 44-43, when third-party candidates are included, with Libertarian Gary Johnson polling at 8 percent. But that doesn’t mean they know for certain who will win the election, or by what means.

The newest Washington Post-ABC News poll shows Democratic presidential Hillary Clinton with a 4-percentage-point lead over Republican nominee Donald Trump among likely voters.

A clear 59 percent majority continues to expect Clinton to win on November 8, including more than 9 in 10 Clinton supporters, although the survey finds few signs that overconfidence is dampening enthusiasm. Comey, who was appointed in 2013 to a 10-year term as Federal Bureau of Investigation director, would still be on the job if Clinton wins the White House.

Referring to the three debates she had with Trump, Clinton said she stood next to him for four and half hours during those three debates.

The FBI’s decision to reopen an investigation of emails from Hillary Clinton’s tenure as secretary of state did not stop the Democratic presidential nominee from collecting yet another endorsement from a conservative newspaper editorial board. Among many gyrations in ABC News and ABC/Post pre-election polls in the 1992 election, Bill Clinton went from an 11-point lead to a scant 3-point edge against George Bush toward the end of their race, before regaining the advantage in the closing days. Then Donald Trump came along. He’ll have to start by carrying the reliably Republican states in the West, the Great Plains and in South that make up the GOP’s Electoral College base. Trump needs to close that gap to have any shot at victory. Florida and North Carolina were still tilting toward Clinton, according to the States of the Nation results.

Earlier this year before the presidential nominees were decided, 31% said they would vote for Obama if he legally could seek a third term, but twice as many (62%) said they would not support him.

White Catholics, a swing voter group in elections from 1976 to 2004, are now with Trump by 57-36 percent, reopening his advantage in this group to near the margin he last saw in late September. He also needs to win states now leaning Clinton’s way. Democrats hold a commanding majority in the Assembly, and Republicans maintain a tenuous hold on the Senate thanks to an unusual agreement with five breakaway Democrats known as the Independent Democratic Conference.

A recent study by Nate Silver of the statistical analysis website 538 found that if only men were allowed to vote, Donald Trump would easily win the White House, but if the electorate was exclusively composed of women, Hillary Clinton would be nominated in a landslide.

“At this point, it’s becoming increasingly hard for Trump to win the state of New Hampshire”.

Clinton’s campaign has expressed concerns about complacency this week as it pushes supporters to turn out even as polls showed her with a comfortable lead. Earlier this week, 82 percent backed Trump; it’s now up to 86 percent.

WikiLeaks has been publishing thousands of emails this month that were stolen from the account of John Podesta, Hillary Clinton’s campaign chairman. Trump will have to pitch a flawless game to secure the ones he needs, especially as he struggles to pull states such as Virginia, Pennsylvania or MI out of Clinton’s column. The former secretary of state has often been reluctant to weigh in on the matter – and defensive when she’s been pushed to do so.

The Lone Star State isn’t the lightest shade of blue on even the most hopeful Democrat’s map.

Clinton has the support of almost two-thirds of the state’s Hispanic voters, who have swelled voter ranks since the 2012 election. Trump is holding events Friday in New Hampshire, Iowa and ME, while his running mate will make appearances in Pennsylvania and North Carolina.

Trump has repeatedly said the polls are wrong.

Still, Bloomberg’s poll of Florida does suggest Trump has some traction in the state he regards as a second home — even though most other recent surveys have given Clinton a lead of a few points. “That is, if she loses”.