While 90 per cent of Clinton voters believed the country was heading in the “right direction”, this confidence was shared by only 8 per cent of Trump supporters, 69 per cent of whom believed the USA was on “the wrong track”. Sometimes you lose an election. My take-aways – offered only in the order I came up with them – are below. If they all vote the way their states voted, Donald Trump will win. But it will only go into effect when enough states have signed on to guarantee that the victor of the popular vote will win the election.
It also included one fixed scenario that showed how Trump could win – with a higher-than-expected Republican turnout and a lower-than-forecast Democratic turnout. That number was 72 percent in 2012.
Trump made the comments during an interview with CBS’ “60 Minutes,” set to air Sunday.
There are many people asking questions about what happened in the wake of Donald Trump’s stunning victory over Hillary Clinton Tuesday. Trump took this revolution of the frustrated to heart, even inviting Nigel Farage, leader of the UK Independence Party, to address a campaign rally in Jackson, Mississippi, in August, and promising “Brexit-plus-plus-plus” for the American people.
But that’s not how elections work in the United States. Let’s hope his plans for a “dynamic booming economy” succeed – just not at the expense of anyone else. That bumped up, marginally, to 11 percent in 2016.
However, members don’t officially cast their ballots until December 19, which has Trump opponents making long-shot efforts to reverse the outcome, including petition drives to get the electorates to switch their votes.
These polls actually got the big picture right: Clinton won more overall votes than President-elect Donald Trump – but not by as much as the polling averages predicted, and not where she needed to.
As of Wednesday morning, Clinton led the popular vote by slightly less than 1 percentage point. This time around, there was a far bigger divide.
In the aftermath, Clinton aides have blamed their loss on a highly negative campaign that turned off voters, on FBI Director James Comey, whose last-minute intervention in the race may have blunted their appeal to wavering voters, and on the apparent Russian-backed leaking campaign by WikiLeaks, which served as a constant distraction. It split evenly – 50 percent for each – between college grads and non-college grads.
Many have taken to social media and to streets across the country to voice their displeasure after the real estate mogul secured enough electoral votes to become president-elect.
Trump didn’t do much to court white evangelical voters.
Republican pollster Whit Ayres suggests that many observers – himself included – assumed that since Trump had never held a lead, he wouldn’t get the benefit of the doubt from voters in the end.
Trump immortalized the “Crooked Hillary” moniker he used to describe his Democratic opponent over more than a year of campaigning.
How to explain it? Another is that with social issues on the wane as voting issues, white evangelicals acted more tribally; they’re an overwhelmingly Republican bloc and voted like it.
“We have seen that our nation is more deeply divided than we thought”, Clinton told supporters. And given his margin with working-class whites, it is hard to imagine that people whose friends and neighbours mainly backed him would be ashamed to say so themselves.
Similarly, despite Trump’s offensive rhetoric about Mexicans, Hispanics could not be relied upon by Clinton.
In her concession speech Wednesday, Clinton did not mention the popular vote, an omission that seemed to signal her desire to encourage a smooth and civil transition of power after such a divisive election.
“It would have been nice to have a couple more MI and Wisconsin polls to adjust that perception” that Clinton was leading, Miringoff said.
But ultimately, he said, the effectiveness of the models came down to the accuracy of the underlying state polls’ likely-voter models.