Experts can tell us about rules of the trade game. But according to an annual survey by U.S. China Business Council (USCBC) in Washington, U.S. firms are not feeling the benefits of Chinese economic reforms.
President Donald Trump charges that Mexico’s almost $60 billion trade surplus with the US shows the country has “taken advantage” of its northern neighbor. He also wants to tax USA companies that outsource production and sell back into the country. Not so easy. There is little open capacity in the USA industry, and investment in new plant, which would take time, could amount to as much as $6.5 billion. He sought Japanese concessions in areas such as vehicle parts, microchips and access to Japan’s markets, and demanded that Japan rein in its current-account surplus.
And his pressure on USA companies- such as the big U.S. auto markets – to bring production and jobs back to the United States is likely to boost capital spending in the US. Trade was no longer the biggest concern. Some people including McCain feels that this would transfer the power and cede economical benefit in the hands of China. Recession. A dramatic weakening of the peso, even below the historic lows it has already set amid Trump’s bellicose rhetoric.
Trump Could Spark a Trade War. Clinton paved the way for China’s joining the WTO two years later.
It is not unreasonable to conclude that the entry into the North American Free Trade Agreement in the 1990s cost some American jobs-along with a complex array of other factors, such as automation and increasingly competitive manufacturers from non-NAFTA countries.
Trump has said little about what he wants to emerge from a renegotiated NAFTA, but his proposed 20 percent tariff on imports from Mexico will be met with countervailing duties on imports from the U.S. Another nice side-effect of the deal: Mexico turned into a huge exporter of beer, with cervezas in fact being the country’s largest agricultural export to the US. Between 2006 and 2014, they climbed more than 300 percent.
Trump’s unexpected win in November made the normal task of turning campaign promises into reality that much more hard. Regardless of how financial markets perceive Trump and the uncertainty that his presidency has created, now is not the time for Canadian investors to panic.
That’s called a trade war. Southern US border states such as Texas and Arizona are tied at the hip with Mexico in trade and manufacturing that goes beyond immigration issues.
“In this sense, it is they who have taken advantage of comparatively cheap Mexican workers”, Higgins said.
After 20 years, any trade deal can get creaky.
“Just like China is today, Japan cheated in the 1980s”, Navarro said in an interview a year ago.
Meanwhile, the Peruvian ministry of foreign commerce has pointed out that Peruvian trade relation with USA is based on the free trade agreement between the two countries.
Trump’s inauguration speech blasted past administrations for not doing enough to protect American manufacturing interests: “Politicians prospered, but the jobs left and the factories closed”. Reciprocity meant that there would be no protective tariffs on all natural resources being imported and exported between the two countries, and prairie grain farmers could both have access to the larger USA market and obtain access to cheaper American farm machinery and manufactured goods, which otherwise had to be obtained at higher prices from Central Canada. More exports means more American jobs. On top of that, the cost of USA labor will probably rise given the lack of slack in the US labor market. Trump has first trained his guns on Mexico in his pledge to change the rules. -China trade war doesn’t bode well for miners, such as Teck Resources Ltd.