Polls show conflicting outcomes for UK’s May in next week’s election

“I think we have discussed this at some length”, he complained. Mrs May ploughed her way through the questions – the standout being if they can specify a floor why can’t they specify a cap? – in the same way she has done throughout the campaign by revealing that this is nothing other than hard territory.

“Strong and stable”? The No. 2 pop song in the country, with two million YouTube views as of yesterday, is Liar Liar, an anti-May tune that has caught on precisely because her attempt to make the Conservative Party seem less conservative doesn’t convince everyone. Some news outlets argued that the controversy had cost May 5 percentage points off her lead.

It marks a significant turnaround after the Tories were 19 point ahead at the start of the campaign.

A major factor in the narrowing gap between the two parties can be ascribed to the Conservative manifesto, which includes bringing back fox hunting, abandoning the ban on ivory trade, and the so-called “dementia tax“.

“Generally speaking, the polls that continue to show a large Conservative lead are those who are basing their turnout models on the pattern of turnout in 2015“.

This isn’t all down to a surge in support for the Conservatives.

Of course, what really matters is how many seats each party wins.

It’s much the same story with the age group 18-24 with 70% of people betting on Corybn’s party winning the most seats at the election. Bettors expect they’ll do that – making them [1.89] to win 10-19 seats, but they’re [1.28] to win under 14.5. So far this year nearly 39% of visits to Oddschecker politics pages have come from people under the age of 34. For another to happen on Thursday, and for courageous Labour backers to land some long odds bets, much depends on the young. This was a gift for Labour’s anti-austerity campaign, and the polls have narrowed from a 19-23% Conservative lead at the beginning of May, to a 3-12% lead yesterday, depending on what level of turnout pollsters assume.

The young vote is notoriously unreliable, as we saw at the last general election when it failed to materialise for Ed Miliband.

That’s even assuming everyone who voted for Brexit had the exact same thing in mind. If so, there could still be a shock in store.

He might not be the most impressive chap around, but I think he has proven that he is a fighter.

Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn makes a speech in Carlisle. That’s an extraordinary turnaround from where he was one month ago. “We all got it wrong in 2015 and we are all trying different methods to get it right this year”, said Anthony Wells, a research director at YouGov.

“Prime Minister May’s overall majority now hangs in the balance based on our most recent data”, Survation founder Damian Lyons Lowe told Reuters.

Under pressure after refusing to turn up for a TV debate earlier in the week, May rejected an accusation that she did a U-turn by calling a snap general election, the daily reported.

The 49-year-old is angry at the city’s incumbent Labour lawmaker, who voted in parliament against starting the formal Brexit process.

Against the Bank of England’s trade-weighted basket, which measures sterling’s broader strength, the pound is now back where it was on 9 April, before May called the election.