Survey says just 5 percent of economists believe Trump’s big tax promise

May 08 07:49 2017

It is a plan not fully developed. Budgetary politics make it hard for him to say anything else. This was supposed to bring in $650 billion over 10 years in tax revenue.

As Congress and the White House begin talks to reform the USA tax code, Texans should be particularly concerned.

The one-page plan provided few details, with Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin explaining that the White House wants to create relief for the middle class, not the wealthy.

The other big area on the business side is that the route that the House plan would go would be to eliminate the ability of businesses to deduct their interest expense. Debt is B, the present time is t, the economy’s growth rate is g, the future time period is s, and infinity is ∞. Voters need to know how much his own taxes and those of his children will be affected by Trump’s tax proposals.

As for Republicans, they would achieve all this discord in the enemy camp without much financial pain to their red-state voters, and without violating party doctrine, such as it is. We pay the highest taxes anywhere in the world, no country is higher and we’re bringing them down. “There has to be a strong mix of tax cuts and revenue-raisers-a good mix of both sweets and vegetables”. As former Sen. Phil Gramm pointed out recently, past official scoring of tax legislation failed to fully anticipate the economic gains that follow pro-growth tax reductions.

A significant increase in infrastructure spending (US$1 trillion over 10 years) is proposed to be financed by tax breaks to the private sector. Numerous recently enacted tax cuts have been phased in over a number of years. And Trump is mandated to be audited during the rest of his time in office.

Income between $143,000 and infinity will get 77.7 percent. That’s unsustainable. “We have this enormous fiscal gap”.

Each of these fiscal policies would tend to raise the USA budget deficit and therefore increase future United States government debt significantly.

Too many Americans have an attitude that it’s okay for the wealthy to pay 39.6% and even more but realistically every American gets tax tired. The main point is no one can do much on $9,276 and much less on $7,885. “We probably could not ignore a large drop in USA corporate tax rates”.

The answer is, I have been watching liberals for 25 years claim they are “for the poor” and then enact policies that hurt them. The economy did not improve after President George W. Bush cut taxes beginning in 2001. As such, corporations are encouraged to make investments at the margin.

A tempting alternative is for Congress to change its rules. Illinoisans would lose a valuable tax loophole under Trump’s plan, because he zeroes out the state and local tax deduction.

In any case, there would certainly be an interesting, uh, debate between pro-Democratic teachers unions, which live on local tax revenue, and pro-Democratic construction unions, which would be salivating at years and years of high- paying infrastructure work. To understand the importance of this tax cut, let’s understand what corporate taxes have to do with the USA economy and how our rate compares to other economies of our scope.

Republicans have long argued that the economic stimulus from reduced taxes will increase the taxes the government collects on wages and investment, canceling out any effect on the government’s bottom line. And the latter necessarily involves shifting more of the tax burden onto the top quarter of taxpayers, who already pay more than 85 percent of personal income taxes collected.

Americans are rightly fed up with the feeble growth of recent years. This is where things get interesting.

-Greater investment: Eighty-two percent said they would increase capital spending, making investments that lead to even more hiring and broader economic growth.

Lowering those rates significantly without losing revenue and increasing budget deficits will be tough because Trump has promised a middle-class tax cut.

But Rep. Brian Higgins, D-Niagara Falls and Buffalo, said the Trump plan is “based on a discredited economic theory known as trickle-down economics” – with the biggest beneficiaries being the rich.

Did your company present you with an early retirement proposal or are you considering an early retirement?

Laura Mahaffy

Survey says just 5 percent of economists believe Trump’s big tax promise
 
 
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